Below are the results of the election survey taken of readers of The Batavian over the past three days.
Please keep in mind:
- This is somewhat experimental. We're curious how close we can get to accurately reflecting how the election will go. That question won't be answered until election night. But as a matter of transparency, we're releasing the results tonight (also, even while acknowledging the potential pitfalls of this survey, candidates are expressing an eagerness to know the results.
- This is a non-scientific survey. Participants are self selected, which statisticians will tell you can skew results.
- An online survey isn't beyond being gamed, or tricked, but I see no evidence of that taking place in this case.
All of that to say: You shouldn't let these results influence your voting decisions, from who to vote for or whether to show up at the polls. Treat this as a potentially interesting reflection of how readers of The Batavian are responding to the candidates, but not necessarily a prediction of what will happen on Election Day.
Two other notes. We are not randomly deleting responses as we previously said we would. We had to delete too many as it is because SOOO MANNNNY people didn't follow the instructions on the survey.
The most common reason we deleted surveys (and whole surveys were deleted, not just specific questions) was people voting in BOTH district elections for the County Legislature. The next most common reason, was saying you lived in the Town of Batavia or another town and then voting in Batavia races or on the charter question.
We have 165 completed surveys. We trashed at least 200 more for failure to follow the instructions and another 25 for stating not registered to vote and unlikely to vote (you see, those were trick questions). We also deleted five surveys with duplicate IP addresses.
We're also not displaying results for jurisdictions that had only one or two respondents.
Here's the results:
Very likely to vote: 149 (90%)
Batavia City Council - Council at Large
Answer
Marianne Clattenburg
49 (22%)
Timothy E. Buckley
45 (21%)
Frank C. Ferrando, Jr
44 (20%)
Phillip J. Ricci
39 (18%)
Sara J. Balbi
26 (12%)
Julie Ann Wallace
15 (7%)
City of Batavia Charter Revision
Yes
52 (64%)
No
29 (36%)
Genesee County Legislator District 7 (Wards 1 & 6)
Robert H. Radley
22 (59%)
Rosemary Christian
15 (41%)
Genesee County Legislator District 8 (Wards 2 & 3)
Christopher M. Charvella
17 (55%)
Hollis D. Upson
14 (45%)
Darien Town Clerk
Alice E. Calmes
5 (56%)
Linda P. Graber
4 (44%)
Darien Town Council (Vote for 2)
Michael A. Plitt
7 (35%)
Stephen J. Ferry
5 (25%)
Christopher M. Nicastro
4 (20%)
Charles J. Flagg
3 (15%)
Jimmie E. Flaming
1 (5%)
Darien Town Council, unexpired term
David D. Riker
7 (70%)
Samuel E. Williams
3 (30%)
Le Roy Town Justice
Answer
Kermit Arrington
13 (65%)
Darryl D. Sehm
7 (35%)
Le Roy Town Council (Pick 2)
Thomas Stella
15 (58%)
Christine M. Smith
8 (31%)
Jay E. Whipple
3 (12%)
Le Roy Town Council, unexpired term
Kelly J. Lathan
14 (67%)
Jennifer AO Keys
7 (33%)
Stafford Town Council (Vote for 2)
Ronald Panek
10 (38%)
Donald L. Mullen
9 (35%)
Michelle Mouery
7 (27%)
Stafford Superintendent of Highways
Answer
Steven Boldt
13 (87%)
James D. Pontillo
2 (13%)